Cogprints

EPIDEMIOLOGY THROUGH CELLULAR AUTOMATA

Situngkir, Hokky (2004) EPIDEMIOLOGY THROUGH CELLULAR AUTOMATA. [Departmental Technical Report] (Unpublished)

Full text available as:

[img]
Preview
 PDF
225Kb

Abstract

This paper performs the utilization of cellular automata computational analysis as the dynamic model of spatial epidemiology. Here, explored elementary aspects of cellular automata and its application in analyzing contagious disease, in this case avian influenza disease in Indonesia. Computational model is built and map-based simulation is performed using several simplified data of such transportation through sea in Indonesia, and its accordance with poultries in Indonesia, with initial condition of notified avian influenza infected area in Indonesia. The initial places are Pekalongan, West Java, East Java, and several regions in Sumatera. The result of simulation is showing the spreading-rate of influenza and in simple way and describing possible preventive action through isolation of infected areas as a major step of preventing pandemic.

Item Type:Departmental Technical Report
Keywords:epidemiology, cellular automata, spatial model, avian influenza, Indonesia
Subjects:Computer Science > Statistical Models
Computer Science > Dynamical Systems
Computer Science > Complexity Theory
Biology > Ecology
Biology > Population Biology
ID Code:3500
Deposited By: Situngkir, Mr Hokky
Deposited On:17 Mar 2004
Last Modified:11 Mar 2011 08:55

References in Article

Select the SEEK icon to attempt to find the referenced article. If it does not appear to be in cogprints you will be forwarded to the paracite service. Poorly formated references will probably not work.

Angulo, J. (1987). “Interdisciplinary Approaches in Epidemic Studies – II: Four Geographic Models of the Flow of Contagious Disease”. Social Science Methodology 24(1):57-69. Pergamon.

Bartholomew, D.J. (1982). Stochastic Models for Social Process. John Wiley & Sons.

Brown, I.H. (2001). “The Pig as an Intermediate host for Influenza A viruses between birds and Human”. International Congress Series 1219:173-178. Elsevier Science.

Capua, I. & Alexander, D.J. (2002). “Avian Influenza and Human Health”. Acta Tropica 83:1-6. Elsevier Science.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2004). Influenza Viruses Question and Answers. Department of Health and Human Services. URL: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/h1n2qa.htm

Chopard, B. & Droz, M. (1998). Cellular Automata Modeling of Physical Systems. Cambridge University Press.

Direktorat Jenderal Bina Produksi Peternakan. (2001). Peta Kawasan Pengembangan Peternakan. Departemen Pertanian Republik Indonesia. URL: http://www.bangnak.go.id

Hatta, M. & Kawaoka, Y. (2002). “The Continued Pandemic Threat by Avian Influenza Viruses in Hongkong”. Trends in Microbiology 10(7):340-344. Elsevire Science.

Liu, M., He, S., Walker, D., Zhou, N., Perez, D.R., Mo. B., Li, F., Huang, X., Webster, R.G., & Webby, R.J. (2002). “The Influenza Virus Gene Pool in a Poultry Market in South Central China”. Virology 305, 267–275. Elsevier Science.

Loud, P. (2003). Map of PELNI Ferry Routes. On-line Map of Indonesia. URL: http://users.powernet.co.uk/mkmarina/indonesia/pelni.gif

Mitchell, M., P.T. Hraber, and J.P. Crutchfield (1993), Revisiting the edge of chaos: Evolving cellular automata to perform computations. Complex Systems, 7: pp. 89-130.

Newman, M.J. (2002). The Spread of Epidemic Disease on Networks. Working Paper 02-04-020. Santa Fe Institute.

Piyawong, W., Twozell, E.H., & Gumel, A.B. (2003). “An Unconditionally Convergent Finite Difference Scheme for the SIR Model”. Applied Mathematics and Computation 146:611-625. Elsevier Science.

Rhodes, C.J. & Anderson, R.M. (1996a). “Dynamics in a Lattice Epidemic Model”. Physics Letter A 210:183-188. Elsevier Science.

Rhodes, C.J. & Anderson, R.M. (1996b). “Forest-fire as a Model for the Dynamics of Disease Epidemics”. Journal of Franklin Institute 335B(2):199-211. Elsevier Science.

Situngkir, H. (2003). Menyambut Fajar Menyingsing Teori Sosial Berbasis Kompleksitas. Makalah disampaikan pada Diskusi Bersama Center for Strategies and International Studies (CSIS) 5 Juni 2003. Bandung Fe Institute.

Situngkir, H. & Surya, Y. (2004). Konstruksi Model Berbasis Agen Sistem Ekonomi Keuangan. Working Paper WPA2004. Bandung Fe Institute.

Willox, R., Grammaticos, B., Carstea, A.S., & Ramani, A. (2003). “Epidemic Dynamics: Discrete-time and Celluar Automaton Models”. Physica A 328:13-22. Elsevier Science.

World Health Organization. (2004). “Avian Influenza A(H5N1)”. Press Release. WHO. URL: http://www.who.int/csr/don/2004_01_24/en/

Wolfram, S. (1983). “Statistical Mechanics of Cellular Automata”. Reviews of Modern Physics 55:601-644.

Metadata

Repository Staff Only: item control page

Cogprints is powered by EPrints 3 which is developed by the School of Electronics and Computer Science at the University of Southampton. More information and software credits.