An Attempt to Predict Behavior: How Does organizer of Mindamic Generate ‘ Causalities ’ in Interaction

Abstract

The rearch is a sequel to former attempts to inquire dynamic of the mind or mindamic with probability theory. Other types of information was dealt with, formerly. So the turn was that of social information. It was assumed: How does organizer of mindamic generate ‘causalities’ in interaction? The subjects were 259 persons; 166 were men and 93 women. The age of persons varied from 18 to 72 years. The data were obtained from the videotapes of 37 sessions with a set of the observation categories. The statistical analysis comprised of the Bayesian probabilities, and the application of the chain rule of the matrix calculus. The results indicated an alternation between the dynamic causes in the organizer of the persons and the overt behavior. The tightness of the most probable causes generate inhibition of the overt behavior. The looseness of the causes in the organizer generate more frequent overt behavior such as the evasive behavior, the rewarding behavior, the straightforward behavior, and the annulment of the former behavior