?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=Causality+and+the+Doomsday+Argument&rft.creator=Phillips%2C+Ivan&rft.subject=Philosophy+of+Science&rft.description=Using+the+Autodialer+thought+experiment%2C+we+show+that+the+Self-Sampling+Assumption+(SSA)+is+too+general%2C+and+propose+a+revision+to+the+assumption+that+limits+its+applicability+to+causally-independent+observers.++Under+the+revised+assumption%2C+the+Doomsday+Argument+fails%2C+and+the+paradoxes+associated+with+the+standard+SSA+are+dispelled.++We+also+consider+the+effects+of+the+revised+sampling+assumption+on+tests+of++cosmological+theories.++There+we+find+that%2C+while+we+must+restrict+our+attention+to+universes+containing+at+least+one+observer%2C+the+total+number+of+observers+predicted+in+each+universe+is+irrelevant+to+the+confirmation+of+a+theory.&rft.date=2005-01&rft.type=Preprint&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=application%2Fpdf&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F4045%2F1%2FCausality.pdf&rft.identifier=++Phillips%2C+Ivan++(2005)+Causality+and+the+Doomsday+Argument.++%5BPreprint%5D+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F4045%2F