creators_name: Situngkir, Hokky type: techreport datestamp: 2008-12-17 22:13:15 lastmod: 2011-03-11 08:57:17 metadata_visibility: show title: The Global and Local in Phillips Curve ispublished: pub subjects: comp-sci-stat-model subjects: comp-sci-complex-theory subjects: soc-psy subjects: economics subjects: phil-dec-theory full_text_status: public keywords: rank order statistics, phillips curve, inflation, unemployment rate. abstract: The debate over the Phillips Curve - as the relation between level of unemployment rate and inflation rate - in historical economics is shortly reviewed. By using the analysis in the Extreme Value Theory, i.e.: the rank order statistics the unemployment and inflation data over countries from various regions are observed. The calculations brought us to conjecture that there exists the general pattern that could lead from the relation between unemployment and inflation rate. However, the difference patterns as observed in the Phillips Curve might could be reflected from the range of values of the local variables of the incorporated model. date: 2008-11-07 date_type: published institution: Bandung Fe Institute department: Computational Sociology refereed: TRUE referencetext: Chiarella, C., Flaschel, P., Gong, G., and Semmler, W.(2003). ”Nonlinear Phillips Curve, Complex Dynamics and Monetary Policy in a Keynesian Macro Model”. Chaos, Solitons Fractals 18. Espinosa-Vega, M. A. Russel, S. (1997). ”History and Theory of the NAIRU: A Critical Review”. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review 2nd Quarter. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Friedman, M. (1968). ”The role of monetary policy. American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 58 (1). Frisch, H. (1983). Theories of Inflation. Cambridge UP. Keynes, J. M. (1953, 1964). The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. Harcourt Brace. Phillips, A. W. (1958). ”The Relation between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861-1957” Economica New Series 25 (100). Salvadori, G., de Michele, C., Kottegoda, N. T., Rosso, R. (2007). Extremes in Nature: An Approach Using Copulas. Springer. Samuelson, P. A. and Solow, R. M. (1960). Analytical Aspects of Anti-Inflation Policy. American Economic Review 50. Schulz, M. (2003). Statistical Physics and Economics: Concepts, Tools, and Applications. Springer. Situngkir, H. (2005). ”Value at Risk yang memperhatikan sifat statistika distribusi return”. BFI Working Paper Series WPD2006. URL: http://www.bandungfe.net/?go=xpecrp=44ce4700 Surya, Y., Situngkir, H., dkk. (2008). Solusi untuk Indonesia: Prediksi Kompleksitas/Ekonofisik. Kandel. Turnovsky, S. J. (2000). Methods of Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2nd ed. MIT Press. Zipf, G. K. (1949). Human Behavior and the Principle of Least Effort. Addison-Wesley. citation: Situngkir, Hokky (2008) The Global and Local in Phillips Curve. [Departmental Technical Report] document_url: http://cogprints.org/6297/1/2008-14.pdf