You mean re-publish of course. Formally. Peer-reviewed and edited.
Splendid idea. Especially the editing.
Jan 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: American Scientist Open Access Forum 
> [mailto:AMERICAN-SCIENTIST-OPEN-ACCESS-FORUM_at_LISTSERVER.SIGMAX
I.ORG] On Behalf Of Arthur Sale
> Sent: 28 February 2007 04:52
> To: AMERICAN-SCIENTIST-OPEN-ACCESS-FORUM_at_LISTSERVER.SIGMAXI.ORG
> Subject: Re: Reply to Jan Velterop, and a Challenge to "OA" 
> Publishers Who Oppose Mandating OA via Self-Archiving
> 
> This is worthy of a published piece, Stevan. Edited of course.
> 
> I don't know how your fingers can type so much!  Best wishes.
> 
> Arthur
> 
> PS. Will you be in Canada in June if I come a-calling? I know 
> it is difficult to predict, but I am exploring a 
> Round-The-World ticket.
> 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: American Scientist Open Access Forum
> [mailto:AMERICAN-SCIENTIST-OPEN-
> > ACCESS-FORUM_at_LISTSERVER.SIGMAXI.ORG] On Behalf Of Stevan Harnad
> > Sent: Wednesday, 28 February 2007 1:46 PM
> > To: AMERICAN-SCIENTIST-OPEN-ACCESS-FORUM_at_LISTSERVER.SIGMAXI.ORG
> > Subject: [AMERICAN-SCIENTIST-OPEN-ACCESS-FORUM] Reply to 
> Jan Velterop, 
> > and
> a
> > Challenge to "OA" Publishers Who Oppose Mandating OA via 
> > Self-Archiving
> >
> >         ** Cross-Posted **
> >
> > The online age has given birth to a very profound conflict 
> of interest 
> > between what is best for (1) the research journal 
> publishing industry, 
> > on the one hand, and, on the other hand, what is best for (2) 
> > research, researchers, universities, research institutions, 
> research 
> > funders, the vast research and development (R&D) industry, and the 
> > tax-paying public that funds the research.
> >
> > It is no one's fault that this conflict of interest has emerged. It 
> > was a consequence of the revolutionary new power and potential for 
> > research that was opened up by the Web era. What is at 
> stake can also 
> > be put in very concrete terms:
> >
> >     (1) hypothetical risk of future losses in publisher revenue
> >          versus
> >     (2) actual daily losses in research usage and impact
> >
> > The way in which this conflict of interest will need to be 
> resolved is 
> > also quite evident: The research publishing industry is a service 
> > industry. It will have to adapt to what is best for 
> research, and not 
> > vice versa. And what is best for research, researchers, 
> universities, 
> > research institutions, research funders, the R&D industry and the 
> > tax-paying public in the online age is: Open Access (free online 
> > access).
> >
> > The research publishing industry lobby of course does not 
> quite see it 
> > this way. It is understandable that their first commitment 
> is to their 
> > own business interests, hence to what is best for their 
> bottom lines, 
> > rather than to something else, such as Open Access, and 
> what is best 
> > for research and researchers.
> >
> > But what is especially disappointing, if not deplorable, is when 
> > so-called "Open Access" publishers take exactly the same stance 
> > against Open Access (OA) itself (sic) that conventional 
> publishers do.
> > Conventional publisher opposition to OA will be viewed, 
> historically, 
> > as having been a regrettable, counterproductive (and eventually
> > countermanded) but comprehensible strategy, from a purely business 
> > standpoint. OA publisher opposition to OA, however, will be seen as 
> > having been self-deluded if not hypocritical.
> >
> > Let me be very specific: There are two ways to provide OA: Either 
> > individual authors make their own (conventionally) 
> published journal 
> > article's final draft ("postprint") freely accessible on 
> the Web, or 
> > their journals make their published drafts freely 
> accessible on the Web.
> > The first is called "Green OA" (OA self-archiving) and the 
> second is 
> > called "Gold OA" (OA publishing).
> >
> > In other words, one of the forms of OA (OA publishing, Gold 
> OA) is a 
> > new form of publishing, whereas the other (Green OA) is not: it is 
> > just conventional subscription-based publishing plus author 
> self-help, 
> > a supplement. Both forms of OA are equivalent; both 
> maximize research 
> > usage and impact. But one depends on the author and the 
> other depends 
> > on the publisher.
> >
> > Now both forms of OA represent some possible risk to publishers' 
> > revenue
> > streams:
> >
> >     With Green OA, there is the risk that the authors' free online
> >     versions will make subscription revenue decline, possibly
> >     unsustainably.
> >
> >     With Gold OA, there is the risk that either 
> subscription revenue will
> >     decline unsustainably or author/institution publication 
> charges will
> >     not generate enough revenue to cover expenses (or make 
> a profit).
> >
> > So let us not deny the possibility that OA in either form may 
> > represent some risk to publishers' revenues and to their 
> current way 
> > of doing business. The real question is whether or not that 
> risk, and 
> > the possibility of having to adapt to it by changing the way 
> > publishers do business, outweighs the vast and certain 
> benefits of OA 
> > to research, researchers, universities, research institutions, 
> > research funders, the R&D industry and the tax-paying public.
> >
> > This question has been addressed by the various interested 
> parties for 
> > several years now.  And after much (too much) delay and debate with 
> > publishers, research funders as well as research institutions have 
> > begun to take OA matters into their own hands by mandating Green OA:
> >
> >     http://www.eprints.org/signup/fulllist.php
> >
> >     As a condition for receiving grants, fundees must 
> self-archive in
> >     their Institutional OA Repositories (or Central OA 
> Repositories) the
> >     final drafts of all resulting articles accepted for 
> publication: The
> >     European Research Council (ERC), five of eight UK 
> Research Councils,
> >     the Australian Research Council (ARC) and the Wellcome 
> Trust have
> >     already mandated Green OA self-archiving. In the US 
> both the Federal
> >     Public Research Access Act (FRPAA) and a mandated upgrade of the
> >     NIH Public Access Policy are likewise proposing a self-archiving
> >     mandate. Similar proposals are under consideration in Canada,
> >     individual European countries, and Asia.
> >
> >     In parallel, Green OA mandates have been adopted by a number of
> >     universities and research institutions worldwide, 
> requiring all of
> >     their institutional research output to be self-archived in their
> >     Institutional OA Repositories.
> >
> >     http://roar.eprints.org/
> >
> > These Green OA mandates by research funders and 
> institutions have been 
> > vigorously opposed by some (not all) portions of the publishing
> > industry:  these opponents have already succeeded in delaying the 
> > adoption of Green OA mandates on a number of occasions.
> >
> >
> >
> http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200304/cmselect/cms
> ctech/399/3990
> 3.
> > htm
> >
> > Nevertheless, the benefits of OA to research are so great 
> that these 
> > attempts to delay or derail the Green OA mandates are proving 
> > unsuccessful.
> >
> > The issue I wish to address here is the stance of (some) Gold OA 
> > publishers on the Green OA mandates: Most Gold OA 
> publishers support 
> > Green OA mandates. After all, a Gold OA journal is also, a 
> fortiori, a 
> > Green journal (as are about 65% of conventional journals), 
> in that it 
> > explicitly endorses OA self-archiving by its authors.
> >
> >     http://romeo.eprints.org/
> >
> > But endorsing individual author self-archiving is not the same as 
> > endorsing self-archiving mandates by funders and 
> universities. So it 
> > is not surprising that although most conventional journal 
> publishers 
> > endorse individual author self-archiving, many of them oppose 
> > self-archiving mandates.
> >
> > So what about those Gold OA journals that oppose Green OA mandates?
> > This is an extremely telling question, as it goes straight to the 
> > heart of OA, and the rationale and justification for 
> insisting on OA.
> >
> > Gold OA journals rightly represent themselves as differing from 
> > conventional journals in that they provide OA. To put it 
> crudely, what 
> > they propose to authors is: "Publish in my journal instead of a 
> > conventional journal if you want your article to be Openly 
> Accessible 
> > to all users." (And, for those Gold OA journals that charge 
> > publication
> > fees: "Publish in my journal instead of a conventional 
> journal and pay 
> > my publication fee if you want your article to be Openly 
> Accessible to 
> > all users.")
> >
> > Apart from that, there is the usual competition between 
> journals: OA 
> > journals competing with non-OA journals, and journals of all kinds 
> > within the same field, competing among themselves. For conventional 
> > journals and for OA Gold journals supported by 
> subscriptions, there is 
> > competition for subscription fees. For all journals there is 
> > competition for authors. And for Gold OA journals that charge 
> > publication fees, the competition for authors is compounded by the 
> > competition for publication fees.
> >
> > What about OA itself? In order to be successful over its 
> competition, 
> > a product-provider or service-provider has to provide and 
> promote the 
> > advantages of his product/service over the competition. In the 
> > competition between OA and non-OA journals, the cardinal 
> advantage of 
> > the OA journal is OA itself: OA journals provide OA, maximizing 
> > research usage and impact, conventional journals do not. For 
> > subscription-based Gold OA journals, OA is a drawing point. For 
> > publication-fee-based Gold OA journals, OA is a selling point.
> >
> > So what about Green OA mandates? For the 35% of 
> conventional journals 
> > that have not endorsed OA self-archiving by their authors, their 
> > opposition to Green OA mandates is just an extension of their 
> > opposition to OA: We know where they stand. "What matters 
> is what is 
> > best for our bottom line, not what is best for research."
> >
> > For the 65% of conventional journals that are "Green" in that they 
> > have endorsed OA self-archiving by their authors, those of 
> them (their 
> > percentage is not yet clear) that oppose Green OA mandates are in a 
> > sense in conflict with themselves: "It's ok if individual authors 
> > self-archive to enjoy the advantages of OA, but it's not ok 
> if their 
> > institutions or funders mandate that they do so." (This is 
> an awkward 
> > stance, rather hard to justify, and will probably succumb to the 
> > underlying premise that OA is indeed an undeniable benefit to 
> > research.)
> >
> > But then what about opposition to Green OA mandates from Gold OA 
> > publishers -- publishers that are presumably 100% committed to the 
> > benefits of OA for research? This is the stance that is the 
> hardest of 
> > all to justify. For the fact is that Green OA is in a sense a 
> > "competitor" to Gold OA: It offers OA without constraints on the 
> > author's choice of journal, and without having to pay 
> publication fees.
> >
> > The only resolution open to a Gold OA publisher who wishes 
> to justify 
> > opposing Green OA mandates is to adopt *precisely the same 
> argument* 
> > as the one being used by the non-OA publishers that oppose Green OA
> > mandates: that it poses a potential risk to subscription 
> revenues -- 
> > in other words, again putting what is best for publishers' bottom 
> > lines above what is best for research, researchers, universities, 
> > research institutions, research funders, the R&D industry and the 
> > tax-paying public.
> >
> > Perhaps this was bound to come to pass in any joint venture 
> between a 
> > producer who is not seeking any revenue for his product (i.e., the 
> > researcher-authors, their institutions and their funders) 
> and a vendor 
> > who is seeking revenue for the value he adds to the (joint) product.
> >
> > I happen to think that this will conflict-of-interest will 
> only sort 
> > itself out if and when what used to be a product -- a 
> peer-reviewed, 
> > published journal article, online or on paper -- ceases to be a 
> > product at all (or at least a publisher's product), sold to the 
> > user-institution, and becomes instead a service (the 3rd-party 
> > management of peer review, and the certification of its outcome), 
> > provided by the publisher to the author's institution and funder.
> >
> >     http://www.arl.org/sc/subversive/
> >
> > I also happen to think that only Green OA mandates can drive this 
> > transition from the current subscription-based 
> cost-recovery model to 
> > the publication service-fee-based model, with the 
> distributed network 
> > of institutional OA repositories making it possible for journals to 
> > offload all their current access-provision and archiving burden and 
> > its costs onto the repositories, distributed worldwide, thereby 
> > allowing journals to cut publication costs and downsize to become 
> > providers of the peer-review service alone, with its reduced cost 
> > recovered via institutional publication fees paid out of the 
> > institutional subscription-cancellation savings.
> >
> >     http://cogprints.org/1639/01/resolution.htm#4.2
> >
> >     Berners-Lee, T., De Roure, D., Harnad, S. and Shadbolt, 
> N. (2005)
> >     Journal publishing and author self-archiving: Peaceful 
> Co-Existence
> >     and Fruitful Collaboration.
> >     http://eprints.ecs.soton.ac.uk/11160/
> >
> > But this is all hypothetical: We are not there now. Right now, the 
> > cost of publication is being amply paid by subscriptions. 
> Publishers 
> > are hypothesizing that OA self-archiving mandates will make that 
> > revenue source unsustainable -- but no actual evidence at 
> all is being 
> > provided to show either that the hypothesis is true, or 
> when and how 
> > quickly subscriptions will become unsustainable, if the 
> hypothesis is 
> > true. Most important, publishers are giving no indications 
> whatsoever 
> > as to why the transition scenario described above will not be the 
> > (equally hypothetical, but quite natural) sequel to 
> unsustainable subscriptions.
> >
> > Instead, the only thing publishers are offering is hypothetical 
> > doomsday
> > scenarios: the destruction of peer review, of journals, and of a 
> > viable industry. Then, on the pretext of the need to protect their 
> > current revenue streams and their current ways of doing 
> business from 
> > this hypothetical doomsday scenario, publishers try to block OA 
> > self-archiving mandates, despite OA's substantial demonstrated 
> > benefits to all the other parties involved, viz, 
> researchers, research 
> > institutions and funders, R&D industries, and the tax-paying public 
> > that funds the research.
> >
> > This is indeed a conflict of interest, although the future revenue 
> > losses to the publishing industry are completely 
> hypothetical, whereas 
> > the current access/impact losses to research are real and already 
> > demonstrated (to the satisfaction of all except the publishing 
> > industry).
> >
> > I close with a reply to Jan Velterop, of Springer's "Open Choice":
> > Springer is a subscription-based, hybrid Green/Gold publisher: It 
> > sells journals by subscription, it endorses author 
> self-archiving, it 
> > offers authors fee-based Gold OA as an option, and Jan 
> opposes Green 
> > OA mandates.
> >
> > This exchange begins with an attempt to justify (some) publishers'
> > (unjustifiable) insistence on the transfer of *exclusive* rights 
> > (rather than just publishing rights) to the publisher; Jan suggests 
> > that transferring exclusive rights is a form of "payment" by the 
> > author to the publisher. Jan never says why the rights need to be 
> > exclusive. Then Jan goes on to oppose mandating Green OA 
> > self-archiving, as providing OA without paying for it. (No 
> mention is 
> > made of the fact that that all publishing costs are currently being 
> > paid for already -- via
> > subscriptions...)
> >
> > > On Wed, 21 Feb 2007, Velterop, Jan, Springer UK wrote:
> > >
> > > transfer of exclusive rights to a publisher is a form of 
> 'payment'. 
> > > Payment for the services of a publisher.
> >
> > Is that so? And then what are subscription revenues? A 
> fringe benefit?
> >
> > (I would have thought that assigning a publisher the right 
> to publish 
> > and the exclusive right to collect revenues for selling an author's 
> > work, without even paying any royalties to the author, was "payment"
> > enough for the value added by the publisher...)
> >
> > > The publisher subsequently uses these exclusive rights to sell 
> > > subscriptions and licences in order to recoup his costs
> >
> > Why exclusive rights?
> >
> > > The advantage is seemingly for the author, who
> > > (mistakenly) has the feeling that he doesn't have to pay for the 
> > > services of formal publication of his article, but who seldom 
> > > realizes why he is asked to transfer exclusive rights.
> >
> > Authors are naive, but not quite as foolish as that. They know the 
> > publisher needs to sell subscriptions to make ends meet. 
> But what you 
> > haven't explained is why the publisher needs *exclusive* rights in 
> > order to do that.
> >
> > > The disadvantage is that payment in the form of exclusive rights 
> > > limits access, because it needs a subscription/licence model to 
> > > convert this form of 'payment' into money.
> >
> > Disadvantage or no disadvantage, subscriptions are currently making 
> > ends meet quite successfully.
> >
> > And you still haven't said why the rights transferred need to be 
> > exclusive.
> >
> > > And subscriptions/licences are by definition restrictive 
> in terms of 
> > > dissemination.
> >
> > No problem, once the author supplements the access provided by 
> > subscriptions with free online access to his own 
> self-archived draft 
> > (Green OA), providing eprints to would-be users who cannot 
> afford the 
> > published version, exactly as authors had provided reprints 
> in paper 
> > days.
> >
> > > Article-fee supported open access publishing, where the 
> transfer of 
> > > exclusive rights is replaced by the transfer of money, 
> consequently 
> > > doesn't have the need for subscriptions and can therefore abolish 
> > > all restrictions on dissemination.
> >
> > Yes. But where is the need for "article-fee supported open access 
> > publishing" (Gold OA) at a time when (a) most journals are 
> > subscription-based, (b) subscriptions are paying the costs of 
> > publishing, and (c) all the author need do is self-archive 
> (Green OA) 
> > (and all the author's funder or institution need do is mandate it)?
> >
> > > Stevan Harnad c.s. will argue that none of this matters, because 
> > > there is 'green', meaning that whatever 'exclusive' 
> rights have been 
> > > transferred, authors can still disseminate their articles via 
> > > self-archiving in open repositories. In that model, having 
> > > transferred 'exclusive' rights is meaningless, and that 
> implies that the 'payment'
> > > that exclusive rights transfer actually is, has become worthless.
> >
> > (1) You have not yet replied about why the transferred 
> rights need to 
> > be exclusive.
> >
> > (2) Nor about what the problem is, as long as subscriptions 
> are paying 
> > for publication costs, as they are.
> >
> > (3) If you choose to invoke the hypothetical "doomsday" scenario -- 
> > that mandated self-archiving will cause cancellations and drive 
> > subscriptions down to unsustainable levels -- by way of response, 
> > kindly first cite
> > (3a) the evidence that self-archiving causes subscription 
> > cancellations and (3b) the arguments and evidence as to why 
> publishing 
> > will not quite naturally make the adaptive transition to 
> the Gold OA 
> > cost-recovery model that you favor, if and when self-archiving 
> > mandates ever *do* cause subscriptions to become unsustainable.
> >
> > > In mandates with embargos, the 'payment' may not be completely 
> > > worthless (depending on the length of the embargo) but is 
> at least 
> > > severely devalued.
> >
> > You seem to be singularly fixated (for an OA advocate) on payment 
> > rather than access (at a time when all payments are being made, but 
> > much access and impact is being lost).
> >
> > You also seem to be more concerned about payments than 
> access delays, 
> > and you seem to be expressing some sympathy for embargoed 
> access over 
> > immediate access in your (unsupported) defense of exclusive 
> rights as 
> > a form of "payment."
> >
> > > I am a great fan of open access, but not a great fan of 'green'.
> >
> > Translation: I am a great fan of OA as long as it is paid Gold OA. 
> > (The accent seems to be on the "paid" rather than on the "OA".)
> >
> > But what is missing today is not publisher payment, but OA...
> >
> > > 'Green' is a kind of appeasement by publishers (some of 
> who, it must 
> > > be said, themselves didn't  [and sometimes still don't]  
> realise the 
> > > 'payment'
> > > nature
> > > of exclusive rights transfer).
> >
> > Perhaps my interpretation is more charitable: 92% of 
> journals did not 
> > endorse Green OA (65% for immediate postprint OA) merely to 
> "appease" 
> > or "placate," but because they recognized that OA is indeed a great 
> > benefit to research and researchers, and that trying to oppose OA 
> > would be neither creditable nor successful.
> >
> > Jan seems to prefer the less charitable idea that endorsing Green 
> > self-archiving was merely a cynical sop, granted on the assumption 
> > that it would not be used, and perhaps even to be taken 
> back, "Indian-Giver"
> > Style, if too many researchers actually went ahead and 
> self-archived:
> >
> >     http://www.eprints.org/openaccess/self-faq/#32.Poisoned
> >
> > (But let us not forget that Jan is not speaking here of 
> Springer, but 
> > of the competition...)
> >
> > > Appeasement is often regretted with
> > > hindsight. Instead of allowing the nature of exclusive rights 
> > > transfer to be compromised, publishers should much earlier have 
> > > offered authors the choice of payment  either transfer of 
> exclusive rights, or cash.
> > > The
> > > appeasement, the 'green', now acts as a hurdle to structural open 
> > > access, perhaps even an impediment.
> >
> > In other words, publishers should have refused to endorse Green OA 
> > self-archiving unless they were paid extra for it. Never 
> mind that all 
> > publication costs were and still are being fully paid via 
> subscriptions.
> > No OA without extra pay (Gold).
> >
> > Because of this impetuous Green appeasement, Springer (a Green
> > publisher) is now stuck with only being able to ask payment 
> for Gold, 
> > not for Green too...
> >
> > > Harnadian orthodoxy will dismiss this. It holds that subscription 
> > > journals will survive, that they will be paid for by 
> librarians even 
> > > if the content is freely disseminated in parallel via open 
> > > repositories, and that it doesn't matter anyway
> >
> > Shorn of the above rhetoric, my position is much simpler:
> >
> > Mandate self-archiving now, for immediate Green OA. If and 
> when 100% 
> > Green OA ever does cause universal subscription 
> cancellation, then use 
> > the self-same windfall subscription savings to pay for Gold OA. But 
> > not now, when there is next to no OA and no Green-induced 
> subscription 
> > cancellations.
> >
> > > (the guru is tentatively beginning to admit that large 
> scale uptake 
> > > of self-archiving, for instance as the result of mandates, may 
> > > indeed destroy journals)
> >
> > Nothing of the sort. There is no guru, but all I say is what I have 
> > been saying all along: if and when OA self-archiving makes 
> > subscriptions unsustainable, journals can and will adapt by 
> converting 
> > to Gold OA, and institutions will pay the Gold OA fees out of (a 
> > portion of) their windfall subscription cancellation 
> savings. (Only a 
> > part, because journals will have down-sized to peer-review 
> > service-provision alone.)
> >
> >
> http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200304/cmselect/cms
> ctech/399/399w
> e1
> > 52.htm
> >
> > > because a new order will only come about after the complete 
> > > destruction of the old order.
> >
> > No destruction: merely a natural adaptation to the optimal and 
> > inevitable, made possible by the online medium.
> >
> > > After all, morphing the old order into the new, without complete 
> > > destruction, entails a cost in terms of money, which 
> "isn't there", 
> > > and anyway, the cost that comes with complete destruction 
> of the old 
> > > order is preferred to spending money on any transition, in that 
> > > school of thought.
> >
> > Translation, shorn of Jan's rhetoric:
> >
> >         Harnad (and many others) are objecting to needlessly (and
> >         wastefully) redirecting scarce research funds 
> toward paying for
> >         Gold OA *now*, when (1) 100% Green OA is reachable 
> without it,
> >         when (2) subscriptions are still covering 
> publishing costs, and
> >         when (3) it is still a speculative matter whether 
> and when Green
> >         OA will ever cause subscriptions to become 
> unsustainable. The
> >         time to redirect funds toward paying for Gold OA is when
> >         the hypothesized subscription cancellations have actually
> >         materialized, so the new savings can be redirected 
> to pay for
> >         the new Gold OA publishing costs.
> >
> > And the objection isn't primarily to the redirection of scarce 
> > research funds to pay for needless Gold OA costs. If the research 
> > community is foolish enough to want to do that, it is welcome to do 
> > so. The objection is to any further delay in mandating Green OA, 
> > wasting still more time instead on continued bickering about paying 
> > pre-emptive Gold publishing fees. Let research funders and 
> > institutions mandate OA Green self-archiving, now, thereby 
> > guaranteeing 100% OA, now, and *then* let them spend their 
> spare time and money in any way they see fit.
> >
> > > I doubt that a complete wipe-out will come. But there are quite a 
> > > large number of vulnerable journals and a partial wipe-out as a 
> > > result of mandated self-archiving is entirely plausible.
> >
> > If what Jan is saying here is that journals will continue 
> to be born 
> > and die, as they do now, I agree. Green self-archiving 
> mandates don't 
> > affect journals individually, they affect them all, 
> jointly, and the 
> > effects are gradual. No one funder or institution generates the 
> > contents of an individual journal. So as the percentage of 
> > self-archiving rises, there will be a (possibly long) 
> uncertain period 
> > when it is unclear how much of the contents of any given 
> journal are accessible online for free.
> >
> > If and when a point is reached where journal subscriptions 
> do become 
> > unsustainable, there will be a natural mass transition to Gold OA.
> > Before that time, it is a matter of the sheerest of sheer 
> speculation 
> > whether Green OA will or will not alter either the rate or the 
> > direction of spontaneous journal births and deaths.
> >
> > > Although there seems
> > > to be a myth that journals are very, even extremely, 
> profitable, the 
> > > fact is that a great many journals are not profitable or 
> 'surplus-able'
> > > (in not-for-profit parlance). In my estimate it is the majority. 
> > > Within the portfolio of larger publishers these journals 
> are often 
> > > absorbed and cross-subsidised by the journals that are 
> profitable. 
> > > Smaller (e.g. society-) publishers cannot do that. 
> Marginal journals 
> > > do not have to suffer a lot of subscription loss before they go 
> > > under. Some of these, especially society ones, will be 
> 'salvaged' by 
> > > being given the opportunity to shelter under the umbrella of the 
> > > portfolio of one of the larger independent publishers. 
> Others will 
> > > just perish if they lose subscriptions. They could of 
> course convert 
> > > to open access journals with article processing fees, but setting 
> > > those up is no sinecure, and requires a substantial financial 
> > > commitment, as the experience of PLoS and BMC has shown. Journals 
> > > that are run for the love of it, by the commendable voluntary 
> > > efforts of academics, are mostly very small, and are the 
> first to be 
> > > affected, unless, of course, they do not need any income because 
> > > they are crypto-subsidised by the institutions with which their 
> > > editors are affiliated. Such journals have always been there and 
> > > there are probably more now than ever (and some are very good 
> > > indeed, or so I'm told), but to imagine scaling them up 
> to deal with 
> > > the million plus articles per year published as a result 
> of global research efforts seems far-fetched, indeed.
> >
> > Part of this speculative account had some plausibility: 
> Yes, journals 
> > are born and die. Yes some struggle to make ends meet 
> (irrespective of 
> > OA). Yes some are subsidised. None of this has anything at 
> all to do 
> > with OA.
> >
> > The causal influence of OA on this already ongoing 
> > birth/death/survival process, however, is pure speculation: Some 
> > titles will die; some will migrate (possibly to OA Gold publishers 
> > like Jan's former employer, BioMed Central -- which, I note in 
> > passing, has signed the EC petition in support of the EC OA 
> > Self-Archiving Mandate, whereas Jan's current employer, 
> Springer, did 
> > not); some will survive, with or without subsidy, just as before. 
> > Nothing to do with Green OA, either in terms of rate or direction.
> >
> >     http://www.ec-petition.eu/
> >
> > But where on earth did Jan get to the non-sequitur of 
> "scaling... up 
> > the [border-line and subsidised journals] to deal with the million 
> > plus articles per year"?
> >
> > Journals will continue to make ends meet as they did before, on 
> > subscriptions or subsidies; some will die, as they always 
> did; others 
> > will migrate. Then, if and when subscriptions become unsustainable, 
> > there will be a transition (and downsizing) to OA Gold, 
> paid for out 
> > of (a portion of) the very same subscription cancellation 
> savings that 
> > drove the transition, redirected toward paying for Gold OA fees.
> >
> > Jan's own speculation only sounds like an Escher impossible-figure 
> > because he chooses to portray it that way. Without the 
> imposition of 
> > that arbitrary distortion, the transitional landscape looks 
> perfectly 
> > natural.
> >
> > > Open access is the inevitable future, and it is worth 
> working on a 
> > > truly robust and sustainable way to achieve it.
> >
> > OA means free online access, and that is indeed worth reaching for 
> > right now, via Green OA self-archiving mandates, which are 
> reachable 
> > right now. Jan instead recommends continuing to sit and wait for a 
> > hypothetical outcome, while meanwhile refraining from 
> reaching for a 
> > sure outcome: 100% OA via Green mandates. Jan urges the research 
> > community instead to "work on" finding a way to pay 
> pre-emptively for 
> > Gold OA now, when Gold OA is neither needed, nor are the funds 
> > available for paying for it (without poaching them from research) 
> > because the funds to pay for publishing are still paying 
> for subscriptions.
> >
> > Caveat pre-emptor.
> >
> > Stevan Harnad
> >
> http://amsci-forum.amsci.org/archives/American-Scientist-Open-
> Access-Forum.h
> tml
> 
Received on Wed Feb 28 2007 - 19:07:34 GMT