**Next message:**Lowing, Ben: "Re: Monty Hall"**Previous message:**Preston, L: "Re: Monty Hall"**Maybe in reply to:**Lowing, Ben: "Monty Hall"**Next in thread:**Lowing, Ben: "Re: Monty Hall"**Messages sorted by:**[ date ] [ thread ] [ subject ] [ author ]

If you stick with your original choice (a 1:3 chance to get the prize)

then you are left with the REALITY that the (say middle box)which also

gave you a 1:3 chance now gives you a 0:3 chance. Thus you know if you

switch that the probability of the other option MUST be 2:3. The Monty

Hall problem (as described by Stevan) was NOT a two box problem and the

laws of probability work in your favour with the scenario of three

boxes originally. This is just how probability works - I don't see

anything strange in this conclusion. If you made say a thousand

attempts using the methodology described the results would, I suggest,

be very close to the 2:3 chance described in the example. Graham.

**Next message:**Lowing, Ben: "Re: Monty Hall"**Previous message:**Preston, L: "Re: Monty Hall"**Maybe in reply to:**Lowing, Ben: "Monty Hall"**Next in thread:**Lowing, Ben: "Re: Monty Hall"**Messages sorted by:**[ date ] [ thread ] [ subject ] [ author ]

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