Franceschi, Paul (2002) A Third Route to the Doomsday Argument. [Preprint]
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Abstract
In this paper, I present a solution to the Doomsday argument (DA) based on a third type of solution, by contrast to on the one hand, the Carter-Leslie view and on the other hand, the Eckhardt-Sowers-Sober analysis. I argue that both aforementioned analyses are based on an inaccurate analogy. After discussing the imperfections of both models, I present then a novel model that fits more adequately with the human situation corresponding to DA. This last model also encapsulates both Carter-Leslie's and Eckhardt et al.'s models, and reveals a link with the issue of mind-body dualism. Lastly I argue that this novel analogy, combined with an adequate solution to the reference class problem, leads to a novel formulation of the argument that could well be more consensual than the original one.
Item Type: | Preprint |
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Keywords: | Dooomsday argument, indeterminism, reference class problem |
Subjects: | Philosophy > Philosophy of Science |
ID Code: | 2629 |
Deposited By: | Franceschi, Paul |
Deposited On: | 01 Dec 2002 |
Last Modified: | 11 Mar 2011 08:55 |
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- A Third Route to the Doomsday Argument. (deposited 01 Dec 2002) [Currently Displayed]
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