Harnad, Stevan (2009) Multiple metrics required to measure research performance. Nature (Correspondence) 457 (785) (12 February 2009) doi :10.1038/457785a;
Nature's editorial "
Experts still needed" (
Nature 457: 7-8, 1 January 2009) is right that no
one metric alone can substitute for the expert evaluation of research performance (based on already-published, peer-reviewed research), because no single metric (including citation counts) is strongly enough correlated with expert judgments to take their place. However, some individual metrics (such as
citation counts) are nevertheless significantly correlated with expert judgments; and it is likely that a
battery of multiple metrics, used jointly, will be even more strongly correlated with expert judgments. That is the unique opportunity that the current UK
Research Assessment Exercise (RAE) -- and our open, online age, with its rich spectrum of potential performance indicators -- jointly provide: the opportunity to systematically cross-validate a rich and diverse battery of candidate metrics of research productivity, performance and impact (including citations, co-citations, downloads, tags, growth/decay metrics, etc.) against expert judgments, field by field. The rich data that the 2008 RAE returns have provided make it possible to do this validation exercise now too, for all disciplines, on a major nation-sized database. If successfully validated, the metric batteries can then not only pinch-hit for experts in future RAEs, but they will provide an open database that allows anyone, anywhere, any time to do comparative evaluations of research performance: continuous assessment and answerability.
(Note that what is at issue is whether metrics can substitute for costly and time-consuming expert rankings in the retrospective assessment of published, peer-reviewed research. It is of course not
peer review itself -- another form of expert judgment -- that metrics are being proposed to replace [or simplify and supplement], for either submitted papers or research proposals.)
Harnad, S. (2008)
Validating Research Performance Metrics Against Peer Rankings.
Ethics in Science and Environmental Politics 8 (11) doi:10.3354/esep00088 Special Issue:
The Use And Misuse Of Bibliometric Indices In Evaluating Scholarly Performance
Stevan Harnad
American Scientist Open Access Forum