Prior AmSci Topic Thread (started September 16, 2005):
"Critique of research Fortnight article on RCUK policy proposal"
On Thu, 6 Oct 05, Sally Morris (
ALPSP) wrote:
SM: "Interesting that Stevan chooses to ignore key points in my message: IOP didn't say 'the opposite' at all - they said subs hadn't been affected 'yet'; as Ken Lillywhite's message makes clear, they fully expect subs to suffer as the logical consequence of the fall in downloads - and Bob Michaelson's message shows that their fear is justified?"
Please do look again, Sally, as I did duly note the "yet":
SH: "'Yet' can quite safely and reasonably be appended to everything I have seen and heard, and it makes not a whit of difference."
And the target of "opposite" was also fully clarified:
SH: "What I should have said was that the diminished article downloads do not equal, nor do they imply, diminished subscriptions, and that IOP had said exactly the opposite: That despite replication in a repository (ArXiv) IOP had [1] found no diminished subscriptions, [2] does not consider self-archiving a threat, [3] cooperates with Arxiv, and indeed [4] will soon be hosting a mirror of Arxiv.
[1] - [4] are all true, and constitute the
substance of what we are talking about: ("Is there any evidence that self-archiving causes cancellations?" Answer:
No. "Is IOP opposing self-archiving ?" Answer:
No.)
You, dear Sally, have instead always refocused the question from objective evidence (about actual self-archiving and actual cancellations) to subjective worries (about possible future cancellations) for which there is as yet no objective evidence at all. And you have tried (but were, I am afraid, destined to be unsuccessful) to interpret the perfectly true, but perfectly irrelevant statement that IOP has recorded lower
downloads at its website, as if it were evidence of present or future cancellations. It is not:
SH: "This statement [that IOP finds diminished downloads for self-archived articles] is perfectly true but in no way implies what ALPSP cites it to imply (i.e., that diminished downloads are evidence that self-archiving causes cancellations), for that is the exact opposite of what the Institute of Physics has said (Swan & Brown 2005)."
So please do keep the two propositions in focus:
True: IOP website downloads are reduced by self-archiving
False: IOP subscriptions are reduced by self-archiving
True: IOP welcomes self-archiving and is even mirroring Arxiv at their website
False: IOP, like ALPSP, is opposing self-archiving
These are the objective facts. The rest is about subjective worries, which, with Rene Descartes, I tend to regard as incorrigible (to the worrier), hence impenetrable to doubt (by the worrier), yet eminently fallible. (I cannot doubt that I have a tooth-ache, when I have a tooth-ache, but I can doubt that the tooth-ache means there's anything wrong with my tooth, even though it feels like it: it might be referred pain from another organ, or even just neurasthenic pain.)
As to librarian anecdotes about cancellation practices: First, you will agree that they do not amount to much until/unless they translate into measurable objective effects (which both APS and IOP have said they could not detect, across 14 years of self-archiving). Apart from that, librarian anecdotes can be freely traded. Here's one of my favorites:
"Personal communication from a UK University Library Director: 'I know of no HE library where librarians make cancellation or subscription decisions. Typically they say to the department/faculty 'We have to save ?X,000" from your share of the serials budget: what do you want to cut?'. These are seen as academic --not metrics-driven -- judgements, and no librarian makes those academic judgements, as they are indefensible in Senate' [S]uch decisions are almost always wholly subjective, not objective, and have nothing to do with the existence or otherwise of repositories'."
In my next posting, I will turn to the consequences of failing to exercise the Cartesian faculty of critical analysis, one-sidedly hewing to subjective worries, while ignoring objective counter-evidence. I will do a critique of the following unsigned article that has just appeared in Research Fortnight:
"The Dangers of Open Access, RCUK Style"
Unsigned Article, Research Fortnight:
Stevan Harnad