On Thu, 13 Oct 2005, Sally Morris (
ALPSP) wrote in the
SPARC Open Access Forum:
SM: "As far as the 'self-archiving' route to OA is concerned, I must have explained our concern a hundred times; let me spell it out yet again:
"Let us assume that self-archiving mandates become widespread, and that tools such as Google Scholar make self-archived articles as easy to discover as the published versions.
"Then if free substitute versions are available for all or most of the content of a given journal, and if these are used by library patrons in preference to the published version, the rational librarian will not purchase the published version."
But if, as all the studies to date show, library patrons use the licensed library published version for those articles that their libraries can afford, and use the author's self-archived OA version for those they cannot, what is Sally's and ALPSP's rationale for keeping them deprived of the articles their libraries cannot afford? and for keeping the authors of those articles deprived of that usage and impact? Is the rationale that the need to protect publishers' from any possibility of risk of a decline in subscription revenues (for which there does not yet exist even a single shred of evidence today) takes precedence over all these author and user needs -- i.e., over all of these
research/researcher needs?
Nor do subscriptions and cancellations depend primarily on the "rational librarian": they depend on their user/author communities, who are not calling for cancellations, but for access to what their libraries cannot afford, and for the impact that their own articles lose, from users at other institutions whose libraries cannot afford the journal they were published in.
SM: "If subscriptions fall dramatically, journals will no longer be viable and will cease publication."
Repeating this "a hundred times" and a hundred times more does not make it one whit more a statement of actual fact, rather than just the counterfactual "if/then" conjecture that it is, and continues to be, with not a shred of evidence to support its "if"-premise
I advise Sally that before the
Frankfurt Scientific Publishing Meeting she should attend the STM session at the
Frankfurt Book Fair in which
Michael Kurtz of astrophysics of Harvard will be presenting the data of Edwin Henneken on the usage of the
ADS system by astrophysicists (article forthcoming in
D-Lib), showing how they switch from using the preprint to using the publisher's published version as soon as it is available -- except those who cannot afford access, who continue to use the self-archived postprint.
SM: "If journals are no longer there to carry out their current functions (not just the management of peer review, but also selection/refinement/collection of content of particular relevance to a given community of interest) that will be a great loss to scholarship."
So would every other negative if/then counterfactual that I or Sally or Pascal or anyone else could dream up, but that doesn't make their if-premises any truer either, not even after being repeated thousands of times. And the more you keep raising the hypothetical ante, the more ominous it sounds -- without becoming one bit truer.
"Pascal's Wager and Open Access"
So let me say it straight out: All evidence is that what is in the best interests of the research community and what is in the best interests of the publisher community can co-exist peacefully with self-archiving. But if there ever were a conflict of interest, there is no doubt whatsoever about the direction in which it would have to be resolved: the dog (research production), not the tail (research publishing).
Why do not Sally Morris and the ALPSP embrace the many potential new ways to collaborate with and benefit from researcher self-archiving and institutional repositories, instead of fixating so single-mindedly on trying to fend off the optimal and inevitable for as long as possible?
SM: " I do not argue that society or indeed other publishers have any right to continue to perform their current function. I'm just pointing out that they may be unable to do so if self-archiving sweeps the board as some would like it to do. That is why we are urging caution to those who would mandate immediate self-archiving."
Self-archiving mandates are not for "sweeping the board," they are for providing access to those researchers who
actually can't afford it today, and thereby providing their lost impact to the research and researchers that are actually losing it today. The sweepingly overboard statements about counterfactual disaster scenarios, in contrast, are coming from those who are trying to protect actual, unchanged publisher revenue streams from counterfactual, hypothetical risk, at the cost of certain and sizeable benefits to research, researchers, their institutions, their funders, and the public that funds their research -- i.e., the canid rather than its queue.
Stevan Harnad